{"id":8,"date":"2005-09-10T08:27:29","date_gmt":"2005-09-10T15:27:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.stevenmrogers.com\/blog\/?p=10"},"modified":"2005-09-10T08:27:29","modified_gmt":"2005-09-10T15:27:29","slug":"gore-in-2008","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/?p=8","title":{"rendered":"Gore in 2008"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I have told this story a number of times, and I just now actually wrote it well for a Billikens.com post.  So I will post it here too&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>Everyone thinks that Gore is an out-there choice for 2008, and it may be&#8230;But, I think we should look at the following before we necessarily rule him out.<\/p>\n<p>Candidate A and Candidate B are running for President in #. Candidate B is the current VP. Candidate B struggles with being in the shadow and the impact of his popular predecessor (the current President who he is VP to). Candidate A wins with the help of a very contested election in State Z. Administration A (Candidate A) is immensely unpopular early in his term. There is a national crisis which Administration A handles well. Administration A is popular. Administration A starts getting significantly involved in a war abroad. Administration A suffers national tragedy. Administration A rides that sympathy\/sentiment to re-election defeating a &#8220;poor choice&#8221; in Candidate B&#8217;s party in election #+4.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Candidate B suffers in the public eye. However, he starts reshaping his image over the years.<\/p>\n<p>Administration A suffers politcally because of the war they got involved in. The American people don&#8217;t see an end to the war. Candidate B decides to run for president again. Candidate B makes a comeback citing the good times of old when he was VP. Candidate B wins this time in November #+8.<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8211;<br \/>\nNow&#8230;Who&#8217;s story is this? It isn&#8217;t a prediction of the future&#8230;It happened. Here is the story again, with names.<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8211;<br \/>\nJohn Kennedy <em>(Candidate A) <\/em>and Richard Nixon <em>(Candidate B) <\/em>are running for President in 1960 (#). Nixon is the current VP. Nixon struggles with being in the shadow and the impact of his popular predecessor, Eisenhower<em> (the current President who he is VP to)<\/em>. Kennedy wins with the help of a very contested election in Illinois <em>(State Z)<\/em>. Kennedy <em>(Administration A (Candidate A))<\/em> is immensely unpopular early in his term <em>(Bay of Pigs)<\/em>. There is The Cuban Missile Crisis <em>(national crisis which Kennedy Administration (Administration A)<\/em> handles well. Kennedy Administration <em>(Administration A) <\/em>is popular. Kennedy Administration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> starts getting significantly involved in Vietnam, a war, abroad. Kennedy Administration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> suffers national tragedy <em>(JFK&#8217;s Assasination)<\/em>. Johnson Adminstration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> rides that sympathy\/sentiment to re-election defeating a &#8220;poor choice&#8221; in Republican <em>(Candidate B&#8217;s)<\/em> party in 1964 <em>(#+4)<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Richard Nixon <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> suffers in the public eye (Losing Gubernatorial Race in California). However, he starts reshaping his image over the years.<\/p>\n<p>Johnson Administration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> suffers politcally because of Vietnam <em>(the war they got involved in)<\/em>. The American people don&#8217;t see an end to the war. Richard Nixon <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> decides to run for president again. Richard Nixon <em>(Candidate B) <\/em>makes a comeback citing the good times of old (gotta love the &#8217;50s) when he was VP. Richard Nixon <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> wins this time in 1968.<\/p>\n<p>Now, let&#8217;s apply this to some more modern settings.<br \/>\nGeorge W. Bush <em>(Candidate A)<\/em> and Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> are running for President in 2000. Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> is the current VP. Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> struggles with being in the shadow and the impact of his popular predecessor, Bill Clinton (the current President who he is VP to). Bush <em>(Candidate A)<\/em> wins with the help of a very contested election in Florida <em>(State Z)<\/em>. The Bush Adminstration <em>(Administration A (Candidate A))<\/em> is immensely unpopular early in his term. There is 9\/11 <em>(a national crisis)<\/em> which the Bush Adminstration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> handles well. Bush Administration (Administration A) is popular. The Bush Administration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> starts getting significantly involved in Iraq (a war abroad). Bush Adminstration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> suffers national tragedy (Still Riding 9\/11, War on Terror, and Iraq (i.e. Getting Saddam). Administration A rides that sympathy\/sentiment to re-election defeating a &#8220;poor choice&#8221; in Gore&#8217;s <em>(Candidate B&#8217;s)<\/em> party in election 2004 <em>(#+4)<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> suffers in the public eye (The Beard Phase, the Liberalness, Endorsing Dean). However, he starts reshaping his image over the years. (Anyone see that nice article about Katrina &#038; Gore?)<\/p>\n<p>Bush Administration <em>(Administration A)<\/em> suffers politcally because of the war they got involved in. The American people don&#8217;t see an end to the war. Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> decides to run for president again. Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> makes a comeback citing the good times of old (gotta love the &#8217;90s) when he was VP. Al Gore <em>(Candidate B)<\/em> wins this time in November 2008 <em>(#+8)<\/em>.<br \/>\n&#8212;&#8211;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I have told this story a number of times, and I just now actually wrote it well for a Billikens.com post. So I will post it here too&#8230;. Everyone thinks that Gore is an out-there choice for 2008, and it may be&#8230;But, I think we should look at the following before we necessarily rule him [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[13,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-gore-theory","category-political"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.steverogers.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}